{
  "attribution": "Friedlingstein et al. (2026), Global Carbon Budget 2025, Earth Syst. Sci. Data 18, 3211–3288, doi:10.5194/essd-18-3211-2026. CC BY 4.0.",
  "description": "How much more carbon dioxide could be emitted from the beginning of 2026 for an even (50 percent) chance of limiting global warming to 1.5 °C, according to the Global Carbon Budget 2025: 170 billion tonnes, which the paper puts at around 4 years of emissions at the 2025 level.",
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  "id": "emissions.gcb-2025.remaining-budget-1-5c",
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    "period": "2026-01-01",
    "status": "final",
    "value": 170.0
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    "locator": "Executive summary, p. 3215",
    "quote": "The remaining carbon budget from the beginning of 2026 for a 50 % likelihood to limit warming to 1.5 °C is nearly exhausted (50 GtC, 170 GtCO₂ left, equivalent to around 4 years at the 2025 emissions levels)"
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  "schema_version": 1,
  "scope": {
    "baseline": null,
    "basis": "Cumulative carbon dioxide emissions from 1 January 2026 for a 50 percent likelihood of limiting warming to 1.5 °C above 1850–1900, as assessed in the Global Carbon Budget 2025. The budget is for total anthropogenic carbon dioxide, fossil and land-use change together (the paper updates the underlying IPCC AR6 estimate \"accounting for the 2020 to 2025 GCB estimated anthropogenic emissions from fossil combustion (EFOS) and land use change (ELUC)\" and states how long the budgets last \"at the 2025 level of total anthropogenic CO2 emissions\", p. 3259). Assessments made with other methods, such as Indicators of Global Climate Change 2025, give different values from the same date.",
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  "title": "Remaining carbon budget for 1.5 °C from the start of 2026 (Global Carbon Budget)",
  "unit": {
    "code": "GtCO2",
    "label": "billion tonnes of carbon dioxide",
    "short": "Gt CO₂"
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  "vintage": "Global Carbon Budget 2025 (ESSD 18, 3211–3288, 2026)"
}