United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)

Emissions Gap Report 2025: Off target

UNEP's sixteenth annual assessment of the gap between where global greenhouse gas emissions are heading and where they need to be to limit warming to 1.5 °C or 2 °C. It projects warming this century under current policies and under full implementation of national pledges, and states the cuts needed by 2030 and 2035 compared with 2019. Only short quoted statements and the numbers in them are shown, each with its page; the report's figures are never reproduced. Its emissions totals include land use, land-use change and forestry, unlike fossil-only totals.

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Numbers published from it

None yet: this source is registered and its licence checked, and its numbers are being prepared.

Licence and credit

Licence: © 2025 United Nations Environment Programme; reproduction allowed for educational or non-profit services with acknowledgement, no commercial use
What the terms say: “This publication may be reproduced in whole or in part and in any form for educational or non-profit services without special permission from the copyright holder, provided acknowledgement of the source is made.”
From the producer's terms, checked 2026-10-04 by a person (the page blocks automated checks).
Credit we give: United Nations Environment Programme (2025). Emissions Gap Report 2025: Off target – Continued collective inaction puts global temperature goal at risk. Nairobi. doi:10.59117/20.500.11822/48854.
Notice: © 2025 United Nations Environment Programme. Quoted with acknowledgement for educational, non-profit use; the full report is at https://doi.org/10.59117/20.500.11822/48854.
Copy of the raw file: Not allowed: we keep a private copy for our own checks and publish its fingerprint.
Cite as: United Nations Environment Programme (2025). Emissions Gap Report 2025: Off target – Continued collective inaction puts global temperature goal at risk [Olhoff, A., chief editor; Lamb, W.; Kuramochi, T.; Rogelj, J.; den Elzen, M.; Christensen, J.; Fransen, T.; Pathak, M.; Tong, D. (eds)]. Nairobi. https://doi.org/10.59117/20.500.11822/48854.

Files

The full report, EGR2025.pdf (76 pages). A person opens https://wedocs.unep.org/bitstream/handle/20.500.11822/48854/EGR2025.pdf?sequence=3&isAllowed=y in a web browser (the server shows scripts a Cloudflare check), saves the PDF, checks that page 2 carries the imprint quoted in this entry, and records it with `uv run envdash snapshot add --source unep-egr-2025 --file EGR2025.pdf`. The copy read on 2026-10-04 was 4,115,807 bytes with sha256 d5364c4761df1a88a39b942a982e24c6bfe205ad49ff3ed8b2af7a728992ff30; a different hash means UNEP has replaced the file.
Downloaded by hand (no stable direct link).

Status

Programme: Published 4 November 2025, before COP30. The 2026 edition is expected before COP31 in November 2026, with no date announced. Not a US federal product.
Updates: Annual, shortly before the November UN climate conference
Last check: Downloaded by hand (2026-10-05T11:04:46Z)
Independent sources measuring the same thing: Climate Action Tracker: the CAT Thermometer, November 2025 (COP30 global update)